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Coalitions

Final votes · whole term, 16 Jul 2024 – 25 Sept 2026 · topic Water & oceans (model-assigned) · contested votes only · majority lines

Which groups vote the same way, which sets of groups are on the winning side of final votes, and whose votes, taken away, would flip the outcome?

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Period Term202420252026Last 6 months
Custom dates
Votes Final votes5All roll calls53
Lines compared Clear lines (⅔)Majority lines ⓘ

Agreement between groups

How often two groups took the same line, of the votes where both groups had a majority line (the position most of their voting members took, not tied), so each pair has its own count — 5 votes in the selection. A count instead of a share under 20 votes.

Only votes that divided the chamber (largest side under 80 %) are counted, so high figures here mean groups that stay together when it matters. Compare with all votes.

Each cell: of the votes where both groups had a majority line, the share where it was the same. The more a cell's colour stands out from the page, the higher the share (scale below); the hatched diagonal is the group itself (method).
The LeftGreensS&DRenewEPPECRPatriotsESN
The Leftsame group4 of 54 of 54 of 54 of 51 of 51 of 51 of 5
Greens4 of 5same group3 of 53 of 53 of 50 of 50 of 51 of 5
S&D4 of 53 of 5same group5 of 55 of 52 of 52 of 52 of 5
Renew4 of 53 of 55 of 5same group5 of 52 of 52 of 52 of 5
EPP4 of 53 of 55 of 55 of 5same group2 of 52 of 52 of 5
ECR1 of 50 of 52 of 52 of 52 of 5same group5 of 53 of 5
Patriots1 of 50 of 52 of 52 of 52 of 55 of 5same group3 of 5
ESN1 of 51 of 52 of 52 of 52 of 53 of 53 of 5same group

Same line: 0–19 %20–39 %40–59 %60–79 %80–100 %

Data as a table
Every pair of groups: votes where both had a majority line, how many times the lines were the same, and the share.
GroupsVotesSame lineShare
The Left – Greens54—
The Left – S&D54—
The Left – Renew54—
The Left – EPP54—
The Left – ECR51—
The Left – Patriots51—
The Left – ESN51—
Greens – S&D53—
Greens – Renew53—
Greens – EPP53—
Greens – ECR50—
Greens – Patriots50—
Greens – ESN51—
S&D – Renew55—
S&D – EPP55—
S&D – ECR52—
S&D – Patriots52—
S&D – ESN52—
Renew – EPP55—
Renew – ECR52—
Renew – Patriots52—
Renew – ESN52—
EPP – ECR52—
EPP – Patriots52—
EPP – ESN52—
ECR – Patriots55—
ECR – ESN53—
Patriots – ESN53—

Groups on the winning side

Which sets of groups carried the final votes decided by a simple majority, members counted in their group on the day.

Groups on the winning side: the groups whose clear line (at least two thirds of their votes, at least 10 members voting) matched the outcome — For when it passed, Against when it failed; divided groups are in no set. Final votes: how many had exactly this set on the winning side. Share: of the final votes considered.
Groups on the winning sideFinal votesShareBar
S&D + Renew + EPP + ECR + Patriots + ESN120.0 %
The Left + Greens + S&D + Renew + EPP + ESN120.0 %
The Left + Greens + S&D + Renew + EPP120.0 %
The Left + S&D + Renew + EPP120.0 %
Greens + S&D + Renew + EPP120.0 %

No final vote in this selection failed for want of an absolute majority.

Per group

Counted per group at the date of each vote; the non-attached have no line and are left out.

On the winning side: final votes decided by a simple majority where the group’s clear line matched the outcome, of those where the group had members voting. Pivotal: votes in the selection decided by a simple majority whose outcome would flip without the group’s members’ votes, of those where the group had members voting. Texts that failed for want of an absolute majority are left out of both.
GroupOn the winning sidePivotal
The Left3 of 50 of 5
Greens3 of 50 of 5
S&D5 of 50 of 5
Renew5 of 50 of 5
EPP5 of 50 of 5
ECR1 of 50 of 5
Patriots1 of 50 of 5
ESN2 of 50 of 5

About these figures

What was counted, what was left out, and how.

  • 5 votes considered (final votes matching the filters; scope).
  • 1 of 7 decisions in the period had no final vote recorded by name (a show of hands or a count without names) and cannot be measured.
  • Groups on the winning side are counted on final votes, pivotal groups on every vote in the selection, both over votes decided by a simple majority; a text that failed for want of an absolute majority (361 members) is counted apart (method).
  • Each member is counted in the group they belonged to on the day of the vote (group at the date).
  • Roll calls are not a random sample: final votes on laws are recorded by name, most other roll calls because a group asked for it. A group’s line is inferred from its members’ votes; the Parliament publishes no whip.
  • Methods: Agreement between two groups v1, Groups on the winning side and pivotal groups v1, Final votes and all roll calls v1, Group at the date of the vote v1.
  • Data as of 25 Sept 2026, 03:36 UTC (data stamp f37e5638cded, code 6d4005c55bde; what the stamp is).
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Sources & citation

Where the facts on this page come from, and how to cite it.

Permalink
https://news.eu-parl.st-solutions.dev/analysis/coalitions?contested=1&lines=majority&topic=climate%2Fwater&to=2026-09-25
Data source
Licensed CC BY 4.0.
Data version
data version f37e5638cded (25 Sept 2026) · methods: group-at-date v1, participation v1, abstention v1, loyalty v1, against-clear v1, cohesion v1, agreement v1, group-agreement v1, winning-side v1, similar-votes v1, scope v1, data-version v1 · methods
Retrieved
25 September 2026

Cite as

EU Parl Watch Research (2026). “Coalitions — Final votes · whole term, 16 Jul 2024 – 25 Sept 2026 · topic Water & oceans (model-assigned) · contested votes only · majority lines”. Analysis. EU Parl Watch Research. https://news.eu-parl.st-solutions.dev/analysis/coalitions?contested=1&lines=majority&topic=climate%2Fwater&to=2026-09-25 (retrieved 25 September 2026). Data: European Parliament Open Data, https://data.europarl.europa.eu/ (CC BY 4.0); data version f37e5638cded (25 Sept 2026) · methods: group-at-date v1, participation v1, abstention v1, loyalty v1, against-clear v1, cohesion v1, agreement v1, group-agreement v1, winning-side v1, similar-votes v1, scope v1, data-version v1.
BibTeX 
@misc{epw-analysis-2026-09-25,
  author = {{EU Parl Watch Research}},
  title = {{Coalitions — Final votes · whole term, 16 Jul 2024 – 25 Sept 2026 · topic Water \& oceans (model-assigned) · contested votes only · majority lines}},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://news.eu-parl.st-solutions.dev/analysis/coalitions?contested=1&lines=majority&topic=climate%2Fwater&to=2026-09-25}},
  url = {https://news.eu-parl.st-solutions.dev/analysis/coalitions?contested=1&lines=majority&topic=climate%2Fwater&to=2026-09-25},
  urldate = {2026-09-25},
  publisher = {EU Parl Watch Research},
  note = {Analysis. Data: European Parliament Open Data (CC BY 4.0); data version f37e5638cded (25 Sept 2026) · methods: group-at-date v1, participation v1, abstention v1, loyalty v1, against-clear v1, cohesion v1, agreement v1, group-agreement v1, winning-side v1, similar-votes v1, scope v1, data-version v1}
}